December 7th, 2012 § Leave a Comment
Man, was I ever wrong …
Totally missed it. My team was abysmal this year. And here’s a few things I missed:
1. Philly is going to make a deep run with lots of offense. Premise: They went on a four game winning streak to end last season. Like the Miami Heat team that put it all together in the season following the hype season, thought Eagles were poised to do the same. Michael Vick was going to rekindle the magic of 2010 and a newly signed DeSean Jackson was going to be the primary beneficiary.
Wrong. Wrong. And wrong.
Lesson: Bet with your heart, you have to tell yourself, “You know you can’t see straight, right?”
2. Chris Johnson is going to run wild. Premise: Again, Tennessee ended last season on an uptick, as did Johnson. Johnson’s slow season was due to his holdout and a coach change. With a full offseason and a resurgent team, Johnson will again be that scary rabbit. Wrong … oh, right … ah, not really. Tennessee is bad. The O-line is bad. The defense is one of the worst. And Chris Johnson is human. Another 1,000 yds, but not the 1st round production I was looking for.
3. Ryan Mathews is going to go bananas! Premise: Backs go off in their third year. Chargers shipped out VJax and so will go more balanced in their play calling. And most important of all, Tolbert the vulture was shipped to Carolina. The road is paved, Mathews going nuts. Wrong. How Mathews gets pulled for Ronnie Brown and that other dude is a mystery. Philip Rivers will huck it regardless … “No Vincent Jackson, not the same Gates, no matter. To the other team, just as good. I just like to throw it and see guys catch it.”
4. Greg Olsen is going to be a top 5 Tight End. Premise: Combine Olsen and TE mate Shockey’s numbers last year, and you get the number 3 Tight End in football. Carolina’s O Coordinator “cut his teeth” watching Antonio Gates auditioning for the yellow jacket. Carolina with Cam is only getting better. Wrong. And … um, wrong. Cam regressed. And Brandon Lafell became the another version of Jeremy Shockey.
Four of many I botched this past season. Here are some lessons I’ll take into 2012:
1. Coming into this year, I thought, “No matter what, I’m taking RB in the 1st round.” Not anymore. I see it in the game. Even short yardage is consistently gained through the air.
2. Adrian Peterson is super human. Normal rules do not apply.
3. I will not avoid rookies like the plague: Rober Griffin III, Muscle Hamster, Trent, and Andrew Luck.
4. Pick with your heart, choose to be a homer, prepare to deal with the consequences.
5. There are only a handful of locks in NFL. In the first round, you have to get one of those.